Is a Recession Around the Corner? Analyzing Key Data | Episode 157 | 07-18-24
Can a single index truly predict economic recessions? Join Megan as she answers this question in our latest episode. This month, the Leading Indicator Index has once again shown a negative trend, marking 27 out of the past 28 months. She unpacks the components behind this month’s reading, such as declining ISM new orders, rising jobless claims, the infamous yield curve inversion, and waning consumer sentiment. Despite some positive signals from stock prices and building permits, the negative factors continue to dominate.
She also examines the skepticism surrounding this index’s relevance as a recession indicator, particularly given its strong focus on goods in an economy where the service sector remains robust. Tune in as we explore the intricacies of this data and what it signals for our economic future. Don’t miss out on this insightful discussion that will leave you better informed about the potential twists and turns in the economy. If you find our analysis valuable, be sure to share, like, and subscribe to Markets with Megan. For more episodes, visit our podcast page at verdece.com/podcasts.
